1 files changed, 71 insertions, 6 deletions

diff --git a/working/context-engineering-rightsizing/rollout.org b/working/context-engineering-rightsizing/rollout.org
index 4afc27f..d641ce7 100644
--- a/working/context-engineering-rightsizing/rollout.org
+++ b/working/context-engineering-rightsizing/rollout.org
@@ -34,7 +34,73 @@ Two consequences:
 
 This is why the posts' value here is subtractive, not additive.
 
-* Phase 0 — Free wins (this session, no dependencies)
+* Status — 2026-07-27, end of first working session
+
+Phase 0 and the deterministic half of Phase 1 are done and verified in a live
+session. The pilot's central question is answered, which changes what remains.
+
+** Shipped
+
+- =paths:= frontmatter on the three rules that already declared a file-type
+  scope in prose (=todo-format=, =org-tables=, =emacs=), plus a =lint.sh=
+  checker that catches the prose/frontmatter mismatch, plus a heading check
+  taught to skip frontmatter. Commit 0adcb1a.
+- Generic rules no longer ship per project. =install-lang= stopped copying them
+  and =sync-language-bundle= sweeps what earlier installs left, guarded on the
+  global rule existing. Swept 20 files each from work and =.emacs.d=. Commit
+  7ea1d7b.
+- The live session anchor is gitignored, so rulesets stops reporting
+  sync-blocked for the whole of every session. Same commit.
+
+** Verified in a live work session
+
+=/context= lists 17 generic rules under Memory files. =todo-format.md=,
+=org-tables.md=, and =emacs.md= are absent, and only =python-testing.md= and
+=publishing.md= come from the project's own rules directory.
+
+So *path-scoping works at user level* and *the de-duplication holds*. Both were
+open questions this morning.
+
+** What that changes
+
+Path-scoping is a glob match, not a model judgment. It is deterministic, so the
+silent-miss risk the whole pilot was designed around does not apply to it. That
+splits the remaining work in two:
+
+1. *Path-scopable* — any rule whose scope is a file type or directory. Ships
+   immediately, no trial, no detectors. =docs-lifecycle.md= is the obvious next
+   one (=docs/**=), and parts of =working-files.md= may qualify.
+2. *Semantic* — rules whose condition can't be written as a glob ("any spec
+   with a non-trivial UI", "when a commit is in play"). These still need the
+   skills route, and they are the only place the pilot's detectors and stop
+   conditions apply.
+
+=commits.md= is the case that matters: 12,800 tokens, the single largest item,
+and almost all of it is publish machinery that only applies when a commit is in
+play. That is a task scope rather than a path scope, so it is the skills route
+and the real test of the risky tier.
+
+** Correction carried from the live numbers
+
+Earlier phases in this document quote word counts converted at a guessed ratio
+and understate by about 45%. The real ratio is 2.28 tokens per word. Read the
+targets below as token figures needing that correction, and see proposals.org
+for the corrected table.
+
+** A pattern worth designing around
+
+Two mechanical guards failed in the same day, both mine, both reporting success
+while doing damage: =wrap-org-table.el= reflowed a table into a worse shape and
+=lint-org= then certified it clean, and the wrap-teardown hook consumed a
+two-hour-old sentinel and killed a live work session.
+
+This plan leans on mechanical detectors precisely because they have no stake in
+the outcome. Both incidents say that is necessary but not sufficient — a
+detector can be confidently wrong. Whatever Phase 3 decides, the verification
+step should include "did the guard's own claim get checked," not just "did the
+guard report clean."
+
+* Phase 0 — Free wins [DONE except /doctor]
 
 *Scope.* Three items that interact with nothing.
 
@@ -58,7 +124,7 @@ filter step. =/doctor= output read and reconciled against this schedule.
 
 *Rollback.* Single revert; nothing downstream depends on it.
 
-* Phase 1 — The pilot migration (next working session)
+* Phase 1 — The pilot migration [deterministic half DONE; semantic half pending]
 
 *Scope.* Six rule files move from always-loaded to on-demand skills. Roughly
 3,000 words, about 12% of the rules surface.
@@ -243,14 +309,13 @@ rather than early.
 - *D6 — Which practices you actually want.* I have low confidence on the quiz
   fitting how you work, and medium-high on the rest.
 
-* Phase 8 — Effort calibration (independent, any time after Phase 2)
+* Phase 8 — Effort calibration [DROPPED 2026-07-27]
 
 *Scope.* Set effort levels for the unattended loops: sentry's hourly fires,
 work-the-backlog, the no-approvals speedrun.
 
-*Reasoning.* Independent of everything else and safe to run in parallel. The
-guide says to sweep effort on your own evals rather than trusting carried-over
-defaults; we have no evals, so this is a trial and a judgment.
+*Dropped.* Buys tokens by spending quality, which inverts the stated goal.
+D7 is withdrawn with it.
 
 *Decision needed.*